Insights / kr
023530
롯데쇼핑KR04/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.73%
P05–P95 span
14.37%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+26.58%
Outer 90%
0/10(0%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.11%P25: -3.50%P50: -1.73%P75: 0.53%P95: 7.26%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 15.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.