022100

포스코DXKR05/17/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.76%
P05–P95 span
16.16%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.42%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.40%P25: -4.35%P50: -1.76%P75: 1.37%P95: 7.76%

Computed at: 05/17/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 19.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.