022100

포스코DXKR05/14/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.52%
P05–P95 span
16.26%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.91%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -11.93%P25: -4.43%P50: -0.52%P75: 1.94%P95: 4.33%

Computed at: 05/14/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.