022100

포스코DXKR04/15/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.14%
P05–P95 span
27.51%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.45
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.33%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.21%P25: -2.14%P50: -0.14%P75: 2.07%P95: 19.30%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.