022100

포스코DXKR04/14/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.20%
P05–P95 span
24.99%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.50
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+12.02%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.84%P25: -0.85%P50: 1.20%P75: 5.57%P95: 17.16%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 8.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.