017800

현대엘리베이터KR05/06/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.51%
P05–P95 span
24.08%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.52
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-15.38%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -11.95%P25: -2.04%P50: -0.51%P75: 1.62%P95: 12.14%

Computed at: 05/06/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 17.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.