017800

현대엘리베이터KR05/05/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.82%
P05–P95 span
18.99%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.62
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-18.72%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -12.64%P25: -4.58%P50: -0.82%P75: 0.96%P95: 6.35%

Computed at: 05/05/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.