Insights / kr
016360
삼성증권KR04/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.39%
P05–P95 span
12.76%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+13.29%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.56%P25: -3.01%P50: -0.39%P75: 1.56%P95: 5.20%
Computed at: 04/26/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 20.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.