016360

삼성증권KR04/23/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+0.00%

P05–P95 span

11.46%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.77

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+13.48%

Outer 90%

3/10(30%)

Middle 50%

2/10(20%)

Above median

6/10(60%)

Below median

4/10(40%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.44%P25: -1.99%P50: 0.00%P75: 2.30%P95: 7.02%

Computed at: 04/23/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.