Insights / kr
015760
한국전력KR05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.08%
P05–P95 span
23.06%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.54
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.93%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.72%P25: -3.75%P50: -1.08%P75: 2.61%P95: 14.34%
Computed at: 05/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 18.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.