Insights / kr
015760
한국전력KR05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.11%
P05–P95 span
21.98%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.56
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.52%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.49%P25: -2.43%P50: 0.11%P75: 3.56%P95: 15.50%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.