Insights / kr
011790
SKCKR05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.46%
P05–P95 span
9.48%
Neighbors
28
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
-7.41%
Outer 90%
0/7(0%)
Middle 50%
0/7(0%)
Above median
1/7(14%)
Below median
6/7(86%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.18%P25: -2.05%P50: -0.46%P75: 0.95%P95: 5.30%
Computed at: 05/31/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 27.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.