Insights / kr
011790
SKCKR05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.86%
P05–P95 span
20.16%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.60
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-0.78%
Outer 90%
5/8(63%)
Middle 50%
4/8(50%)
Above median
5/8(63%)
Below median
3/8(38%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.78%P25: -3.66%P50: -0.86%P75: 1.84%P95: 11.38%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.