011210

현대위아KR05/18/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.37%
P05–P95 span
21.41%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.57
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-6.24%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.99%P25: -2.35%P50: 0.37%P75: 2.21%P95: 13.41%

Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.