Insights / kr
011210
현대위아KR05/17/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.65%
P05–P95 span
29.19%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.42
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.69%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.79%P25: -5.78%P50: -1.65%P75: 1.42%P95: 17.40%
Computed at: 05/17/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.