011210

현대위아KR04/29/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+2.00%
P05–P95 span
16.72%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.13%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.26%P25: -0.82%P50: 2.00%P75: 4.66%P95: 10.46%

Computed at: 04/29/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.