011210

현대위아KR04/28/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+2.18%
P05–P95 span
11.45%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.95%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -2.81%P25: -1.41%P50: 2.18%P75: 5.36%P95: 8.63%

Computed at: 04/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.