Insights / kr
010950
S-OilKR04/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.34%
P05–P95 span
13.72%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.52%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.63%P25: -2.16%P50: -0.34%P75: 1.68%P95: 8.09%
Computed at: 04/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 19.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.