010140

삼성중공업KR05/21/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.49%
P05–P95 span
12.16%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-11.32%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.39%P25: -3.41%P50: -0.49%P75: 1.54%P95: 5.77%

Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 30.2 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.

010140 · 삼성중공업 Future Return Distribution (KR) | trade.var.gg