010140

삼성중공업KR05/20/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.85%
P05–P95 span
16.96%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-8.58%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.01%P25: -0.89%P50: 0.85%P75: 2.34%P95: 10.95%

Computed at: 05/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.