Insights / kr
010120
LS ELECTRICKR05/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.20%
P05–P95 span
30.67%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.39
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-18.11%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.05%P25: -2.02%P50: 2.20%P75: 10.78%P95: 24.62%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.