Insights / kr
010120
LS ELECTRICKR04/23/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.65%
P05–P95 span
31.86%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.36
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+30.77%
Outer 90%
0/10(0%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -16.70%P25: -3.96%P50: -0.65%P75: 4.30%P95: 15.16%
Computed at: 04/23/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.