Insights / kr
010120
LS ELECTRICKR04/22/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.85%
P05–P95 span
17.61%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.65
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+43.74%
Outer 90%
0/10(0%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.43%P25: -4.02%P50: -0.85%P75: 1.82%P95: 8.18%
Computed at: 04/22/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 17.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.