008770

호텔신라KR06/07/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.17%
P05–P95 span
12.82%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
+8.82%
Outer 90%
1/4(25%)
Middle 50%
0/4(0%)
Above median
4/4(100%)
Below median
0/4(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -9.15%P25: -5.43%P50: -0.17%P75: 1.88%P95: 3.67%

Computed at: 06/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.