008770

호텔신라KR06/03/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.14%
P05–P95 span
9.34%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
+5.71%
Outer 90%
2/6(33%)
Middle 50%
0/6(0%)
Above median
5/6(83%)
Below median
1/6(17%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.14%P25: -2.38%P50: -0.14%P75: 0.99%P95: 5.20%

Computed at: 06/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.