005930

삼성전자KR05/31/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.25%
P05–P95 span
12.14%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
-6.42%
Outer 90%
4/7(57%)
Middle 50%
0/7(0%)
Above median
4/7(57%)
Below median
3/7(43%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.54%P25: -1.09%P50: 0.25%P75: 1.98%P95: 6.60%

Computed at: 05/31/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.