005930

삼성전자KR05/28/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.93%
P05–P95 span
13.61%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-3.39%
Outer 90%
5/8(63%)
Middle 50%
2/8(25%)
Above median
5/8(63%)
Below median
3/8(38%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.97%P25: -2.39%P50: -0.93%P75: 0.56%P95: 7.64%

Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.