005850

에스엘KR05/11/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.58%
P05–P95 span
18.65%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.54%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.95%P25: -3.38%P50: -0.58%P75: 3.34%P95: 10.71%

Computed at: 05/11/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 18.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.