005850

에스엘KR05/10/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.11%
P05–P95 span
20.83%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+7.68%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.70%P25: -2.70%P50: 0.11%P75: 4.21%P95: 14.13%

Computed at: 05/10/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.