005300

롯데칠성KR05/21/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-3.97%
P05–P95 span
15.74%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-7.73%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -13.06%P25: -9.48%P50: -3.97%P75: 0.14%P95: 2.68%

Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.