005300

롯데칠성KR05/20/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.40%
P05–P95 span
18.30%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-7.59%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -13.59%P25: -4.92%P50: -1.40%P75: 0.93%P95: 4.71%

Computed at: 05/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.