Insights / kr
004990
롯데지주KR05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.52%
P05–P95 span
14.58%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+1.91%
Outer 90%
6/8(75%)
Middle 50%
4/8(50%)
Above median
4/8(50%)
Below median
4/8(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.47%P25: -3.61%P50: -1.52%P75: 0.83%P95: 6.11%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.