Insights / kr
004990
롯데지주KR05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.52%
P05–P95 span
18.72%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+3.90%
Outer 90%
9/9(100%)
Middle 50%
2/9(22%)
Above median
4/9(44%)
Below median
5/9(56%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.87%P25: -2.28%P50: -0.52%P75: 1.22%P95: 7.84%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 19.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.