Insights / kr
004170
신세계KR04/16/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.70%
P05–P95 span
15.57%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+9.47%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.21%P25: -2.92%P50: 0.70%P75: 3.23%P95: 7.36%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.