Insights / kr
004170
신세계KR04/15/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.53%
P05–P95 span
13.11%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+16.45%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -1.91%P25: -0.43%P50: 1.53%P75: 4.27%P95: 11.19%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.