Insights / kr
004020
현대제철KR05/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.18%
P05–P95 span
30.54%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.39
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-6.84%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -19.30%P25: -4.33%P50: -1.18%P75: 1.49%P95: 11.23%
Computed at: 05/12/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.