Insights / kr
004020
현대제철KR05/11/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.49%
P05–P95 span
38.35%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.23
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-6.33%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.76%P25: -2.74%P50: 0.49%P75: 7.42%P95: 28.59%
Computed at: 05/11/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.