Insights / kr
004020
현대제철KR04/22/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.77%
P05–P95 span
16.44%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+7.64%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.68%P25: -2.52%P50: -0.77%P75: 2.14%P95: 10.76%
Computed at: 04/22/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.