Insights / kr
004020
현대제철KR04/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.61%
P05–P95 span
21.89%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.56
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.19%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.10%P25: 0.00%P50: 2.61%P75: 6.10%P95: 16.79%
Computed at: 04/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 22.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.