Insights / kr
004000
롯데정밀화학KR05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.57%
P05–P95 span
19.66%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.61
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-10.64%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.63%P25: -0.88%P50: 1.57%P75: 4.88%P95: 14.03%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.