Insights / kr
004000
롯데정밀화학KR05/17/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.00%
P05–P95 span
17.89%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-10.07%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.33%P25: -2.29%P50: 0.00%P75: 2.34%P95: 9.56%
Computed at: 05/17/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 20.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.