Insights / kr
002380
KCCKR05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.32%
P05–P95 span
10.91%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
-12.10%
Outer 90%
1/7(14%)
Middle 50%
0/7(0%)
Above median
2/7(29%)
Below median
5/7(71%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.10%P25: -1.89%P50: -0.32%P75: 1.52%P95: 6.81%
Computed at: 05/31/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 19.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.