Insights / kr
002380
KCCKR05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.00%
P05–P95 span
24.60%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.51
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-12.10%
Outer 90%
7/8(88%)
Middle 50%
1/8(13%)
Above median
1/8(13%)
Below median
7/8(88%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.44%P25: -3.37%P50: 0.00%P75: 3.82%P95: 13.17%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.