Insights / kr
001680
대상KR05/11/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.11%
P05–P95 span
22.96%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.54
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.83%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -14.16%P25: -5.39%P50: -1.11%P75: 0.87%P95: 8.81%
Computed at: 05/11/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.