Insights / kr
001680
대상KR05/10/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.13%
P05–P95 span
14.35%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.74%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.30%P25: -4.38%P50: -0.13%P75: 1.84%P95: 4.05%
Computed at: 05/10/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.