001450

현대해상KR06/01/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.00%
P05–P95 span
31.84%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.36
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+14.93%
Outer 90%
5/7(71%)
Middle 50%
1/7(14%)
Above median
6/7(86%)
Below median
1/7(14%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -10.70%P25: -1.24%P50: 0.00%P75: 5.96%P95: 21.14%

Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.