Insights / kr
001450
현대해상KR05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.57%
P05–P95 span
15.74%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+16.12%
Outer 90%
3/8(38%)
Middle 50%
1/8(13%)
Above median
8/8(100%)
Below median
0/8(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.43%P25: -1.34%P50: 0.57%P75: 4.21%P95: 9.31%
Computed at: 05/31/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.