Insights / kr
000810
삼성화재KR06/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.36%
P05–P95 span
18.94%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.62
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
-1.19%
Outer 90%
1/2(50%)
Middle 50%
1/2(50%)
Above median
1/2(50%)
Below median
1/2(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.93%P25: -6.10%P50: -2.36%P75: 0.56%P95: 8.01%
Computed at: 06/08/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.