Insights / kr
000720
현대건설KR04/16/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.82%
P05–P95 span
24.05%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.52
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-11.25%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.15%P25: -2.35%P50: 0.82%P75: 3.40%P95: 17.90%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 20.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.