Insights / kr
000720
현대건설KR04/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.29%
P05–P95 span
20.75%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-7.37%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.51%P25: -5.82%P50: -1.29%P75: 1.97%P95: 8.24%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 14.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.